Macroecology | Global Change Ecology | Biogeography | Spatial Ecology
2017
Biodiversity and Conservation
In press
One Sentence Summary
Integrating museum specimen data with citizen science records within an occupancy modeling framework enables us to identify signals of temporal change in Californian dragonflies over a century
Keywords: Bayesian occupancy models, population change, natural history collections, citizen science, detection bias, dragonflies, traits, temperature, NIMBLE

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Rapacciuolo G, Marin J, Costa GC, Helmus MR, Behm JE, Brooks TM, Hedges SB, Radeloff VC, Young BE, Graham CH

2017
Global Ecology and Biogeography
In press
One Sentence Summary
Human pressure history has played a role in determining the contemporary biogeography of body mass across tetrapod vertebrates, but different tetrapod classes have responded differently to human pressures
Keywords: Americas, amphibians, body size, functional diversity, human pressure, terrestrial vertebrates, western hemisphere, reptiles

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Zeilinger AR, Rapacciuolo G, Turek D, Oboyski PT, Almeida RPP, Roderick GK

2017
Ecological Applications
In press
One Sentence Summary
Models of museum specimens over the last century suggest that increases in the population of the potato psyllid - the vector of a potato crop disease - may underlie the increased manifestation of the disease
Keywords: Bayesian analysis, Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum, list length analysis, NIMBLE, occupancy model, opportunistic ecological data

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Fiorella KJ, Rapacciuolo G, Trisos C

2016
Nature (Correspondence)
Volume 538, Issue 371, October 2016
One Sentence Summary
Biodiversity conservation could learn from Public health for a better assessment of the contribution of different threats to species loss
Keywords: Biodiversity, Conservation, Public health, Threats, Species loss

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2016
Biodiversity Informatics
Volume 11, October 2016
One Sentence Summary
The journey of the California Vegetation Type Mapping project exemplifies the importance of finding historical data, digitizing it with best practices, linking it with other datasets, and sharing it with the research community
Keywords: Vegetation mapping; Historical data; California; Climate change; Application programming interface; API

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Pearse WD, Chase MW, Crawley MJ, Dolphin K, Fay MF, Joseph JA, Powney G, Preston CD, Rapacciuolo G, Roy DB, and Purvis A

2015
PLoS ONE
Volume 20, Issue 5, e0126524, May 2015
One Sentence Summary
EDAM is a framework for incorporating evolutionary distinctiveness, the magnitude of decline, and the accuracy with which decline can be predicted within species conservation prioritizations
Keywords: Conservation prioritization, Evolutionary distinctiveness, Threat, Decline, Uncertainty, British Plants

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Rapacciuolo G, Maher SP, Schneider AC, Hammond TT, Jabis MD, Walsh RE, Iknayan KJ, Walden GK, Oldfather MF, Ackerly DD, Beissinger SR

2014
Global Change Biology
Volume 20, Issue 9, September 2014
One Sentence Summary
Individualistic shifts in the elevation of birds, butterflies, mammals and plants during the 20th century in California suggest that the biogeographic impacts of climate change go far beyond basic expectations based on warming
Keywords: Biogeographic responses, California, climate change, Climatic water balance, Elevation, Fngerprint, Range shifts, Temperature

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2014
Methods in Ecology and Evolution
Volume 5, Issue 5, May 2014
One Sentence Summary
Temporal validation plots offer a simple tool for testing how well correlative species distribution models predict species' past range changes – perhaps the best way available to assess their ability to predict likely future changes
Keywords: Species distribution models, Temporal validation, Prediction accuracy, Range change, Calibration plots, Historic surveys

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2013
Biodiversity and Conservation
Volume 23, Issue 1, November 2013
One Sentence Summary
Trait-based models of range changes in the flora of Britain since the 1930s shows agricultural intensification has favoured more competitive habitat generalists at the expense of habitat specialists
Keywords: Agricultural intensification, Comparative analysis, Distribution change, Phylogeny, Plant traits

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2012
PLoS ONE
Volume 7, Issue 7, July 2012
One Sentence Summary
When validated using data on recent range shifts, correlative species distribution models based on climate accurately predict stable but not dynamic portions of species' geographic ranges
Keywords: Climate change, Birds, Butterflies, Plants, Species distribution models, Range shifts, Temporal validation

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Oliver TH, Gillings S, Girardello M, Rapacciuolo G, Brereton TM, Siriwardena GM, Roy DB, Pywell R, Fuller RJ

2012
Journal of Applied Ecology
Volume 49, Issue 3, June 2012
One Sentence Summary
Estimates of probability of occurrence derived from species distribution models are correlated with measures of population density but do not measures of long-term population stability
Keywords: Bioclimatic niche models, Species distribution models, Butterflies, Birds, Population trends, Population monitoring data, Population persistence

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